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I asked if Goldman Sachs's report implies a probability over 60% for tariffs reaching 60%. GPT responded that the likelihood of USDCNH hitting 8 or higher could exceed 60%, in line with forecasts by analysts such as those at Goldman Sachs.
Next, I queried if the probability might be over 70%, and it replied that it's certainly feasible, with considerable likelihood.
Would it surpass 80%? The response was challenging.
Could it go beyond 90%? It answered that while possible, it remains challenging.
Is there a 100% chance? Its reply was that under significant tariff hikes, it's a plausible outcome, but the complexity and unpredictability of financial markets make absolute certainty impractical. |
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发表于 2024-7-27 16:05:36